Günther Schmid, Simone Modrack Employment Dynamics in Germany: Lessons
to be learned from the Hartz reforms
This paper sets out to explore the black box of
recent employment dynamics in Germany and thus to identify positive and negative
implications that might be of interest for future policymaking. The starting
point of our analysis is the question as to whether recent employment growth in
Germany is the result of labour market reforms or is instead a mere by-product
of the general economic upswing. In order to tackle this question, we assess
German employment performance over the last ten years and also compare the
determinants of the latest two economic upturns (1998–2000 and 2005–2007).
Guided by an analytical framework that stresses the complementarity of
institutions responding to shocks, we examine possible factors behind employment
dynamics. The following step is to sum up and discuss the major aspects of the
recent German labour market reforms (the so-called Hartz reforms). Taken
together, our empirical evidence indicates that the recent employment growth
might indeed have been facilitated by the labour market reforms. The reforms
have led to considerable improvements, but they also demonstrate serious
shortcomings.